a blog about news and politics by steve janke
 

Stephane Dion blinks and Stephen Harper has a majority

With a speech delivered this afternoon, Liberal Party leader Stephane Dion has signalled that he will not force an election. That the Conservative government of Stephen Harper has said that it intends to rebalance Canada's federation, that it has walked away from Kyoto, that Canadian troops will likely be in Afghanistan well past 2009 -- on none of these issues is Stephane Dion confident that he has the ability to sway Canadians to vote for the Liberal position.

Until that changes, I suppose the Liberals will excuse themselves from any votes that could force an election. With the Liberal Party in hiding, Stephen Harper has a de facto majority.

I suppose that means the Liberals will make noises but do nothing, at least until Stephane Dion figures out why he can't win an election leading the Liberal Party, or the Liberal Party decides that its only hope to win an election is to do it without Stephane Dion.




Stephane Dion is going to let Stephen Harper's Conservative government govern -- aiming to keep the troops in Afghanistan to 2011, declaring Kyoto dead and irrelevant and blaming it on Stephane Dion and the Liberals, reducing the size and scope of the federal government by respecting provincial jurisdictions, getting tough on crime by being tough on crime, giving Canadians back the money taken through onerous taxes -- which comes as no surprise:

Liberal Leader Stephane Dion has signalled he will not force an election over the speech from the throne, saying he wants to make Parliament work.

"The throne speech we heard, with all of its weaknesses, has to be assessed in light of the fact that Canadians don't want another election right now," Dion told the House of Commons. "They want Parliament to do its job…

"We are determined to make Parliament work."

Earlier Wednesday, Liberal MPs had filed out from their party's caucus meeting not knowing whether Dion would reject the speech from the throne and possibly trigger an election.

I think it was always pretty clear what was going to happen. Stephen Harper and the Conservatives will proceed with implementing their agenda because of the help of Stephane Dion.

When Jim Flaherty delivers a budget that cuts the GST and reduces your personal income tax, say thanks to a Liberal.

It might make them feel a bit better. As it is, there are going to be a lot of disappointed Liberal bloggers:

And of course:

The Liberals will likely allow the Throne Speech to pass by not showing up for work:

Some political observers believe the Liberal front bench — Dion and his shadow cabinet — may vote against the throne speech and that the backbenchers will either abstain or not show up, which would allow the throne speech to pass.

Expect a lot of hooting coming from the NDP benches.

And more than a little grumbling from Liberals at the what their party has been reduced to.


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Comments

*
Looks like Steffi didn't listen to Big G after all.

"You remember that drunken voice inside your head that seductively whispered, "Sure it looks like a really long way... from the roof to the swimming pool... but you know can do it."

"Well... that's Garth Turner."

*

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Posted by: neo at October 17, 2007 04:54 PM



Garth wanted to go to "war", but Dion didn't have the stomach, possibly due to his gaullic genetics. To placate the Garth, Dion threw in the mentioning of the Income Trust issue, thus acknowledging Garth's pet peeve with the government. Dion needs Garth real bad for Liberal fundraising efforts, his assigned duties.

Looking at Ignatieff while Dion was responding to the TS, it was very telling of Iggy's state of mind. At the beginning of Dion's remarks, Iggy was the last to stand and the first to sit and mildly applauding. As Dion's speech droned on Iggy looked like he was dozing off, and eventually he stopped getting up on his feet to applaud, and then stopped applauding altogether ..!!!!!

Very very revealing body language from Iggy the Pretender ... and I suspect he has been told that he will not be the next leader of the Liberal party ... and that's what Powercorp wants ..!!!

Posted by: Observer at October 17, 2007 05:09 PM



When the Liberals speak for Canada...they are only speaking for their own self-interest.

Hence.. "Canada does NOT want another election now".

They cannot speak the truth because the truth is their ultimate enemy.

Posted by: zilla at October 17, 2007 05:19 PM



PMSH blew Citoyen Dion away this afternoon. His speach was brilliant, I liked his humour especially his remark likening Dion to a professor marking a paper and writing in everything that was wrong, but still giving PMSH a passing mark. The best part of Citoyen Dions speech was when he was talking in French, It was the only part of the speech I understood, the translator had perfect English....

Posted by: argee at October 17, 2007 06:18 PM



Being the fair leader that he is, Prime Minister Harper could take the high road and MP match for any of the liberals who can't make it to the vote.

That would only be democratic, wouldn't it?

Posted by: Dale at October 17, 2007 06:24 PM



Today's spectacle in the HOC performed by Dion and the Dionettes is proof they have nothing going for them so they will not trigger an election.
No bloody surprise there. Weak leader being manipulated by warring factions of the divided and broke party sure isn't in any position to go to an election. They care not one whit for anything but power for the sake of power. When they're ready for an election, they'll not mention their favorite rant right now, "Canadians don't want an election" which should read "Liberals don't want an election".

Posted by: Libby at October 17, 2007 06:24 PM



Funny...I checked Kinsella's blog and there's something there about Mercer ....The Brainiac's blog has something there..but nothing about the Librano principles and the vote today.....Ah well...I suppose the proof has been proven!!Mr. Harper,I can't wait for the next installment of this serial....but I can't blame those poor fellas..there is really not much to talk about...or write about

Posted by: Squiggy at October 17, 2007 08:05 PM



I loved the look of glee Jason Kenney had on his face today passing Jean Chretien's new book to John Baird in the House of Commons. He was loading the cannon and thinking about the wreakage the insuing salvo would inflict on the Liberals.

The best thing in the Commons today though was the last 10 minutes or so of Harper's speech where he ripped Liberals and lawyers Inc. for confusing and obstructing the crime bills. I think if every Canadian saw this part of his performance (unobstructed by the media) his personal popularity would almost certainly increase.

Posted by: Stephen at October 17, 2007 08:22 PM



Looks like Don Martin agrees with you.

Posted by: Joanne (TB) at October 17, 2007 09:34 PM



You guys sound just like Reid and Herle before the last election i.e. like puffed up jackasses. They were laughing at Harper too.

Canadians don't like bullies, especially big fat ones. Harper needs to be very careful he doesn't come across as one.

This nonsense of "not allowing amendments" on a government bill is not only illegal and unconstitutional, it quite frankly plays into the authoritarian caricature of Harper. It is also a juvenile thing for a PM to say.

The Liberals are playing for time. Dion only needs to go into early November with the delay tactics. He will then have guaranteed his party at least 4 extra months of preparation time. He may not be a "leader", and he may be "chicken", but as a party leader trying to maximise his party's chances, he is doing his job.

Do not underestimate the man. Iggy did. Rae did. Look how well it turned out for them.

Posted by: at October 17, 2007 09:44 PM



You guys sound just like Reid and Herle before the last election i.e. like puffed up jackasses. They were laughing at Harper too.

Canadians don't like bullies. Harper needs to be very careful he doesn't come across as one.

This nonsense of "not allowing amendments" on a government bill is not only illegal and unconstitutional, it quite frankly plays into the authoritarian caricature of Harper. It is also a juvenile thing for a PM to say.

The Liberals are playing for time. Dion only needs to go into early November with the delay tactics. He will then have guaranteed his party at least 4 extra months of preparation time. He may not be a "leader", and he may be "chicken", but as a party leader trying to maximise his party's chances, he is doing his job.

Do not underestimate the man. Iggy did. Rae did. Look how well it turned out for them.

Posted by: at October 17, 2007 09:45 PM



It's simply not possible to underestimate Dion.

Posted by: Paul M at October 17, 2007 09:58 PM



Forget about the Tories underestimating Dion. Dion has underestimated Bob Rae, and he's about to be rear ended by the naked diver himself.

The Rae and Iggy camps didn't want an election now, because they need a few months to safely oust Dion, without having a bloodbath of an election scorching the earth beneath their feet. Look for a spring 2008 election, with Rae at the helm, and Iggy at his side. You heard it here first.

Posted by: NCF TO at October 17, 2007 10:49 PM



When Jim Flaherty delivers a budget that cuts the GST and reduces your personal income tax, say thanks to a Liberal.

When you cut taxes, increase spending but you don't have to borrow money there are only a couple of possible explanations: there are stealth tax increases taking place, or the value of the currency is being destroyed and the government is basically printing the money they need (which is nothing but a sneaky tax on savers and pensioners). Given the income trust fiasco and the obvious rampant price inflation of hard goods it means we're getting some of column 'A' and some of column 'B'. At least, in the universe in which 2 + 2 = 4 that's what it means. In the political universe it means, "We're gonna expand the government in every which way that we please, no one is going to lose their existing entitlements and don't worry 'cause we're gonna pay for everything with tax cuts."

Edjumacate yourselfs. Unless you're a party leader getting a slush fund, a patronage-sucking senior cabinet minister or an insider positioned close enough to score some major payola, you're going to get screwed by these guys ... Even ... Though ... They're ... Not ... Liberals.

Posted by: at October 17, 2007 11:17 PM



"This nonsense of "not allowing amendments" on a government bill is...illegal and unconstitutional"

Please explain your argument. I honestly fail to see how it is either. If it is deemed a matter of confidence, it seems to me Harper has every right to demand an up or down vote on it. The liberals did everything in their power to delay passage of this legislation in the last session of Parliament, Harper is saying (reasonably enough in my view), if you aren't willing to defeat the throne speech, you cannot reasonably obstruct legislationm flowing directly therefrom, which will be deemed a matter of confidence. He has formed a government, and intends to govern. If the Opposition wishes to defeat the government and force an election, they are perfectly free to do so.

Posted by: Jonathan W at October 18, 2007 07:08 AM



Garth has been forced to defend Dion's capitulation on the TS in order to quell the hordes of followers he worked up to fever pitch clamoring for an election. He intimates that he is a personal confidant of Dion, being welcomed at his front door where Dion explains himself to Garth.
Garth has a hilarious cartoon on his blog today where he sells the lemonade that Dion has made out of the lemons Harper has given to them. However, is that a small dig at his leader; "then we sell them the wisdom of Liberal CHICKEN soup"?

Posted by: muttsrus at October 18, 2007 08:11 AM



I can't imagine how bad things must really be in the Liberal party right now. The polling indicates a 5 point lead for the cons.This can not generally be considered insurmountable. The party is clearly in disarray but perhaps even more than we realise.

By allowing this gov't to stay in power they have given a huge gift to the Bloc and in particular the NDP.

The Libs argued in the last elections how the Cons. are scary and pro bush and have a hidden agenda ,Blah,blah. Now they are propping them up! They will pay dearly for this at the next election which may only be weeks away anyways. Layton, if nothing else knows his target audience and will exploit this.

Politically the Libs had no choice but to surrender but in doing so they gave up any principles they had or at least pretended they had.

BTW ..When was the last time Canadians wanted an election?..

Posted by: David at October 18, 2007 08:36 AM



I'd say the Liberal plan is working. The more they ignore the government's confidence votes . . . the more Harper looks like a big fat bully. Most Canadians don't like a bullies.

Posted by: Bob at October 18, 2007 08:15 PM



[i]I loved the look of glee Jason Kenney had on his face today passing Jean Chretien's new book to John Baird in the House of Commons. He was loading the cannon and thinking about the wreakage the insuing salvo would inflict on the Liberals.[/i]

- That's what I find so utterly, delectably HILARIOUS about the whole thing! Here stands revealed for all to see, the splendid parting gift that Johnny Chretin bestowed on the Lieberals. In his uncontrollable urge to torpedo Paul Martin, he wrecked the entire Party - Dion's whole problem stems from the fact that the Lieberals are BANKRUPT, can't fight an election bankrupt, and can't get any money from their usual big-business cronies thanks to J.C.'s contributions law. I wonder if J.C. knew beforehand what he wrought with that law - it seems a little too Machiavellian even for him, but I really wouldn't put it past him. Boy, talk about burnin' yer bridges!!!

[i]The Libs argued in the last elections how the Cons. are scary and pro bush and have a hidden agenda ,Blah,blah. Now they are propping them up! They will pay dearly for this at the next election which may only be weeks away anyways.[/i]

I doubt it. Even weeks from now, the average voter will have forgotten it, if he ever noticed in the first place. Our Governments, LIEberal and CONservative, have devoted decades and billions of the taxpayer's money to putting the Canadian voter asleep and keeping him there; now as a result, we only wake-up mad and only vote out. Even the most jaded voter in the country knows all-too-well that the Prime Minister (who runs the country like he owns it - which he does, just ask J.C.) only pays the voters more than lip service when he's in a minority. So if an election is held this fall, I personally suspect that a groundswell movement would sweep the country, that everybody should vote EXACTLY the same as he/she did LAST TIME, seeking EXACTLY the same result.

Canadians don't trust Harper, and don't want to give him a majority to see what he'd do - he's doing alright in a minority, let's leave him there. And the LIEberals will get out of their hole eventually, just as the CONservatives did - Canada needs both, to play-off against each other and occasionally, to remind them both that it's OUR country and OUR money - not theirs.

Posted by: Jim at October 19, 2007 07:46 AM



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Posted by: aswkin at July 17, 2008 08:26 AM