The Sarnia Hospital is in the news. A P3 project designed to save the taxpayers money, it has been hit with huge cost overruns. Guess what? No matter what Premier Dalton McGuinty tells you about the risk of overruns being taken by the private partners, the fact is that the costs are going to be borne by the taxpayers. Indeed, the increased cost paid by us is likely designed into the contract at the outset, protecting the private partners from an overruns.
I know because I've been studying a bond offering to pay for another P3 contract, the Durham Region Courthouse.
We'll be paying a half-billion dollars over 30 years to pay for a 5% bond offered up by the private partners to pay for the courthouse. The Ontario government can raise funds on the bond market at 3% to 4% interest.
You do the math.
[Actually, I should do the math more carefully myself. This piece was originally titled "half-trillion" instead of the correct "half-billion", and the mistake was repeated in one place in the text. If the link you are following still says "trillion", I apologize. In any case, the feed has been republished, and the correction should propagate out to any links using the feed.]
Durham Region is getting a new courthouse, consolidating in one location in Oshawa facilities that are spread across eight locatons:
June 28, 2007
Construction officially began on the Durham Consolidated Courthouse in Oshawa, Minister of Public Infrastructure Renewal David Caplan and Attorney General Michael Bryant announced today at a groundbreaking ceremony for the new courthouse.
"The Durham Consolidated Courthouse project is an example of our government's commitment to investing in infrastructure across the Province of Ontario," said Caplan. "Not only will this new courthouse improve access to justice services in the region, but it will also be one of the largest 'green' buildings in Ontario."
"The Durham Consolidated Courthouse will provide the people in Durham Region with modern courthouse facilities and meet the growing needs of the community," said Bryant. "This investment will help strengthen the justice system in this great region."
Over the next 20 years, the Region of Durham is forecasted to have one of Ontario's highest rates of population and caseload growth.
"I would like to thank the community for its continued support of this project," said Pickering-Ajax-Uxbridge MPP Wayne Arthurs. "The new justice facility will spur economic development that will benefit everyone in the region and we are looking forward to the project's completion."
This is a P3 project, a Public-Private Partnership. That means a private consortium builds and manages the facility, and the province pays rent.
The risk for overruns is taken on by the private consortium. In this case, the private consortium that won the contract was Access Justice Durham, made up of PCL (construction) and JCLP (operations). They'll run the courthouse through 2039.
Now who pays for the courthouse?
We do of course, but in a roundabout (and potentially expensive way).
The financial arm of the consortium is the Canadian branch of the Dutch bank ABN AMRO Bank N.V.
On March 2, 2007, the day Access Justice Durham was named the winner of the competition, a Confidential Memorandum was issued by Access Justice Durham outlining a $214,062.00 bond offering (it is not online but I find things). The interest paid on the bonds was 5.015% per year, compounded, and paid quarterly. The bonds mature in August 2039, in line with the completion of the service contract with the Province of Ontario.
Access Justice will not receive any of the proceeds of this offering. Access Justice will use the proceeds of the sale of the Bonds by it to ABN AMRO on the Closing Date as follows:
(a) CAD $20,000,000 into the Debt Service Account;
(b) CAD $154,000,000 into the Construction Account; and
(c) the remainder of the proceeds from the issuance were deposited into the General Account.
Now when they say Access Justice doesn't get any of the money, that requires a bit of clarification. Notice that $40,000,000 of the $214,000,000 offering goes into the General Account, which is itself a source of revenue:
Access Justice generates interest revenue on its Account balances based on the applicable deposit rate at the time. Interest earned on each Account is calculated daily and credited to that Account. The main sources of the interest revenues are as follows:
- the Debt Service Reserve Account;
- a minimum required balance of CAD $250,000 in the General Account;
- the interest earned on monthly-generated operating revenues prior to quarterly Bond Payments and Equity
- distributions; and
- the interest earned on monthly cash balances in the Lifecycle Account.
But here's the thing. When you look Appendix B of the Memorandum, the total payments over the 30 years of the bond comes out to over $445,000,000 in principal and interest. And who pays for that?
OIPC, as agent for the Province of Ontario, will pay Access Justice a Monthly Service Payment sufficient to cover payments to JCLP and the Bondholders. The Monthly Service Payment will be paid monthly. OIPC, as agent for the Province of Ontario, is Access Justice's sole credit counterparty. (See "Project Agreement - Payment Mechanism").
Are the taxpayers of Ontario getting value for their money?
Consider that if Ontario Savings Bonds were used to raise the money, the interest paid would be much lower:
Finance Minister Greg Sorbara announced interest rates for the 2006 issue of Ontario Savings Bonds (OSBs) that go on sale today, calling them a safe investment with competitive rates.
"Again, people throughout the province have the opportunity this year to make an investment that they can count on and one that contributes to Ontario's economic strength," Sorbara said. "By investing in Ontario Savings Bonds, purchasers are investing in a stronger Ontario."
The five-year Step-Up Bond interest rates are 3.70 per cent this year, 3.80 per cent in the second year, 3.90 per cent in the third year, 4.00 per cent in the fourth year and 4.25 per cent in the final year. The three-year Fixed-Rate Bond interest rate is 4.10 per cent, and the seven-year Variable-Rate Bond rate is 3.90 per cent for the first six months.
The interest rate for the next six months for the 2000-2005 Variable-Rate Bonds was also set today at 3.90 per cent.
That's the problem with the P3 model as I understand it. It's all well and good to say the private sector is paying for this and is taking on the risk, but really, it is a public building performing public work and being paid for out of public funds. It's not like the Durham Courthouse is in competition with all those other Durham Courthouses to drum up court business, forcing the consortium to drive down the ongoing costs, such as bond interest payments, as part of a plan maximize revenue.
Instead, on March 2, the Ontario government picks Access Justice Durham, and on the same day, Access Justice Durham offers bonds at 5.015% knowing that the attractive interest payments will be covered by the taxpayer.
A couple of hundred million dollars difference.
Well, there is one way for the Ontario taxpayer not to take a bath on this. Dalton McGuinty could direct the government to buy the bond offering. The government would pay the service contract costs for the courthouse, including the cost of the interest for the bond. The money would then end up being paid back to the government with the quarterly bond payment.
But then the government would be taking on all the risk as the bondholder. Moreover, since many of the risks to the project that could cause Access Justice to default on bond payments include such things as the government changing the terms of the contract or of the construction (through legislation or some other mechanism), the irony would that the government as bondholder would suffer from conflicting pressures if such a change was being considered. The government would be putting its own interest payment income at risk.
The real question is who is going to buy these bonds:
The Bonds will not be listed on any securities exchange or quoted in the automated quotation system of any registered securities association and purchasers may not be able to resell the Bonds purchased under this Confidential Offering Memorandum. There can be no assurance that a secondary market for trading in the Bonds will develop or, if a secondary market does develop, that it will provide Bondholders with liquidity or that it will continue for the life of the Bonds. Accordingly, this investment should be considered only by those persons who are able to bear the economic risk of the investment until the Maturity Date.
Despite the fact that this bond offering is for building a public building, neither the CDIC or the Province of Ontario provide any insurance for this investment. This bond is not qualified to be part of an RRSP, an RESP, and so on. Because the bonds are not offered through a bonds market, they are exempt from other rules that protect investors:
The Underwriters, as principal, conditionally offer the Bonds on a private placement basis in reliance upon exemptions from the prospectus requirements of applicable securities legislation, all at prices to be negotiated by the Underwriters with potential bondholders. Accordingly, the Bonds will only be offered to persons or entities to whom the Underwriters are entitled to sell such securities without the benefit of a prospectus qualified or filed under such securities laws. Any resale of the Bonds will be restricted in the manner provided by applicable provincial securities legislation, and accordingly, purchasers of the Bonds are advised to consult with a legal advisor before effecting any sale of the Bonds.
Sheesh, who would buy these things? It explains why the interest rate offered is so good. It would have to be.
That's what is so pointless about this. The P3 approach is supposed to protect the taxpayer by shifting the risk to the private portion of the partnership. But this is nonsense. No private enterprise would take on more risk without covering its investment. And this memorandum shows just how the private part of the partnership shifts the risk back to the public side, accomplishing nothing.
Well, other than making us pay a heck of a lot more than we would have before.
Am I just speaking in hypotheticals? Hardly. The Sarnia Hospital P3 project has exploded in costs:
Cost overruns in the tens of millions of dollars at a hospital project exemplify Liberal government waste of taxpayer dollars that require an audit or even a criminal probe, Progressive Conservative Leader John Tory suggested Saturday.
A day after Health Minister George Smitherman said the expansion at the Sarnia Blue Water Health Centre would cost a "guaranteed'' $214 million, the Sarnia Observer reported a leaked Health Ministry document shows the price tag could reach $319 million.
The project, for which ground has yet to be broken on, was supposed to cost $140 million.
The details came to light just hours after Health Minister George Smitherman made a campaign stop in the city in support of beleaguered incumbent Liberal Culture Minister Caroline Di Cocco, and downplayed suggestions of massive cost overruns.
Smitherman said construction would begin shortly at a "guaranteed'' price of $214 million under contract with London-based construction giant EllisDon.
Guaranteed? Nothing is guaranteed. I wonder just what interest rate will be offered up on a new Sarnia hospital bond to cover the overruns. It'll have to be good in order to attract investors. We ought to know because that cost is coming back to you and me.
At least we know how much the Durham Courthouse is going to cost us.
Addendum: Something was nagging me as I was writing this piece. Why wouldn't you offer the bonds up on the public markets? Why would this Offering Memorandum be marked "private" and "confidential" every which way from Sunday? Maybe this is all normal stuff, but then the taxpayers are on the hook for payments to the bondholders, so shouldn't we know all the details about how the bond offering is structured? And that's what was bugging me. Who wouldn't want the Ontario taxpayers to know? In a public and private partnership, who stands to be punished if the voters decide they don't like what they see?
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Any idea if PCL is connected to EllisDon. PCL is set to start work on our local hospital.
Posted by: glenda at October 7, 2007 12:59 PM
Replace "trillion" with "billion" here in North America.
Posted by: Frank Ch. Eigler at October 7, 2007 01:25 PM
Oops, thanks Glenda. Gosh, that was a boo-boo by three orders of magnitude.
I was actually working on a pun with "trillion" and "trillium" but it was lame and I threw it out. But "trillion" remained behind by accident. Even after I proofread it. D'oh!
Posted by: Steve Janke at October 7, 2007 01:45 PM
*
"Ontario's Liberal government has paid out almost $1 billion to private companies to cover new hospital construction overruns, a coalition of community health organizations said Friday."
*
Posted by: neo at October 7, 2007 06:18 PM
Are the taxpayers of Ontario getting value for their money?
Yup, they're getting every single penny's worth of waste, corruption, rationing and squalor that they deserve, ever since they started to think that they could vote themselves money and "free stuff" and that someone else could always be found to pay for it.
It isn't just a P3 problem. Every hospital and other major "investment" in the welfare state which has come to my attention recently has had faulty designs and major construction problems. The contracts are designed from the get-go to enrich government insiders and cronies and to hell with everything else. For example, it is common for the architects to receive a percentage of the construction costs of a public building. That way, they design in lots of flaws and take lots of disasterous shortcuts, so that when the multi-million dollar remedial work must be performed, they rake in even more money - because of their mistake.
It is the inherent and inescapable nature of government contracts that they will (a) fail to deliver what they promised and (b) enrich the men and women who control the government. It is thus because they are conceived politically, because the services being offered are either de jure or de factor government monopolies, and because the revenues that fund them are collected from the citizens under threat of violence.
The really astonishing and wonderful thing is that there are people who understand in great detail the nuts and bolts of how the public is screwed by government boondoggles - yet they remain so oblivious to the underlying laws of human behaviour which lead to the failure of government projects that, hope against hope, they fervently believe that somewhere out there is the right brand of politician and the right sort of politicial party which can somehow, against every rule of economics, Make the Welfare State Work.
Their unquenchable faith in the government Tooth Fairy would be very touching and heartwarming - if it wasn't just so damn expensive.
Posted by: at October 7, 2007 07:53 PM
Morontarians love their Liberals, and are only too willing to underwrite anything that Dalton promotes.
You can lie, tax, steal and cheat Morontarians, but you dare not hurt their feeeeeelings as did Tory with his threat to our beloved public school system ... keep your hands off our children .. ya hear ..??!!!
Posted by: Observer at October 7, 2007 08:00 PM
It's no shocker since MP Sobarro has been boasting about the huge Surplus and how Ontario is now filthy rich under the McGuinty Liberals and the Health-tax .
Watch how McGuinty will deny he knew anything about the over-run costs and dangers he was warned about and opposed to P3's while in opposition.
Only McGuinty would use stupidity as a defense other than Sgt Schultz who knew Nothing....noth ing Col. Klink .
Posted by: Roger at October 7, 2007 09:38 PM
I would like to know why all this money to the Cricket club and others wasn't used to pay down our deficit in Ontario. I just read where we owe more now than when McGuinty took over.
Posted by: Ruth at October 8, 2007 07:59 AM
Court houses, private schools and all the irrelevant strawman issues Kinsella orchestrates to lead the public away from the #1 bleeding issue in Ontario seem to have worked like a charm.
This government has the worst record on sonstitutional responsibility and law and order of any government in Canada's histiry....until Caledonia citizens are un threatened, the province's deeding system is secure from decimation and private property title is enforced by the government again, all the other mewling issues are MOOT!
Wake up voter's another term of this degenerate lawless government will render your private property title valueless.
Posted by: WL Mackenzie Redux at October 8, 2007 10:47 AM
Wake up voter's another term of this degenerate lawless government will render your private property title valueless.
I agree that Dilton McStimpy is somewhat more tyrannical than the Tories who preceded him, but overall this is not a very big difference - my property title had barely any more protection back in the day. It's like the difference between Robert Mugabe and Yugo Chavez.
I disagree that you can vote your way out of this pickle. The welfare bums - and the people who think like welfare bums - vastly outnumber the workers, savers and investors. John Tory is the living proof of that. If you participate in the election you are telling the welfare bums and the tyrants who herd them, "Oh well, you won fair and square, I guess you can have my money and my house now, and take away my kids and put them in your moron schools." If you don't participate then you deny them the ability to claim they they have some kind of moral high ground from which they can impose draconian, confiscatory boondoggles. What if less than 50% of eligible voters show up, and a gomer like McJackass gets in with only 40% of those votes? Do you think that a commie welfare scheme imposed on the whole province by only 20% of the people who showed up - mostly tax-eating non-workers and non-savers - is legitimate? I don't, and I won't pass up a single chance to tell people that it's illegitimate. Eventually the taxers and stealers will get nothing but a middle finger waved in their face when they try to loot the province.
Posted by: at October 8, 2007 05:14 PM
We are toast, we'll scarcely be able to breath without a meter. We're now being promised SMART? meters on all Ontario households by 2010 by Dilton McScrewball. Amazingly, the polled majority say they want second rate health care, taxes out of the realm of reality on property and everything else. To top it off the brain dead fools of this province love being lied to and taken for fools. Why? Well they're listening to the media on one issue, driven by their pals in the Liberal fold, instead of doing their own research to know what exactly is at stake if they return this lot to power.
Whoever coined the phrase "we get the government we deserve", could sure apply it here.
We can hope for a sudden awakening in the dying days, that's about all.
Posted by: Libby at October 8, 2007 05:57 PM
Abstract paintings
Angel painting
animal paintings
ballet paintings
beach painting
Boat painting
building painting
Children painting
Christ painting
church painting
City painting
Cottage painting
Dancer painting
field painting
Floral paintings
Garden painting
Hunting paintings
impressionist painting
Knight painting
Lady painting
Landscape painting
Lighthouse paintings
Music painting
Nude painting
Oriental paintings
Piano painting
Seascapes paintings
Still Life paintings
street painting
sunset painting
Tropical paintings
Venice paintings
Village painting
wine paintingsalvador dali paintings
thomas kinkade paintings
pablo picasso paintings
vincent van gogh paintings
claude monet paintings
diego rivera paintings
Posted by: aswkin at July 17, 2008 07:09 AM